Economic Update October 2018: Red October

by Blake Whiteley Last updated on November 08, 2018

After three quarters of mostly slow and steady growth, October saw a correction in global financial markets with volatility doubling from its September levels. The S&P 500 fell by 6.8%, emerging markets were down 5.7% in CAD terms, while Canada was the biggest loser down 7.4%. Despite the risk averse sentiment, fixed income markets were also down by month end due to rising interest rates.

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Economic Update September 2018: New North American Trade Deal Reached

by Blake Whiteley Last updated on October 09, 2018

In this month’s market update we discuss September’s global economic and market highlights, which includes an update on financial markets, the global trade situation, the developing narrative in emerging markets, and a particularly interesting 10-year anniversary of note.

Throughout September, we saw developed markets end the month on a positive note. Specifically, the Dow and S&P 500 set new highs,  the Nikkei closed at its highest level since February, and  global developed markets, including  Canada closed even higher. On the other hand, emerging markets posted a negative month due to ongoing trade and credit concerns, as did the bond market with central banks continuing to raise interest rates.

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Economic Update August 2018: Some Progress on Trade

by Blake Whiteley Last updated on September 13, 2018

This month we’re discussing what drove markets throughout August, including signs of strength in the US market, slow-progressing trade negotiations, and news out of emerging market economies.  

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Economic Update July 2018: Tax Breaks and Trade Uncertainty

by Blake Whiteley Last updated on August 07, 2018

US economic reports released in July showed increasing strength, breaking past the 2% real growth rate which has been somewhat of a norm since 2009. Real growth is up 2.8% in the past year, while real GDP growth in the second quarter alone grew at 4.1% annual rate which is its fastest pace since 2014. Wages and salaries are growing at its fastest pace in nearly a decade and, as a result, consumption numbers are also solid. The strong economic data can be attributed to tax cuts and increased government spending. 

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Economic Update June 2018: One-Step Back for Global Trade

by Blake Whiteley Last updated on July 05, 2018

The story of June 2018 in the markets has been dominated by headlines surrounding global trade tensions. Other themes persist throughout the market such as rising interest rates, geopolitical uncertainty, and volatility in the financial markets.

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Economic Update May 2018: Can the Upcoming World Cup Calm Markets?

by Blake Whiteley Last updated on June 08, 2018

In May we saw geopolitical risks continue to loom large and add to the volatility in global equity markets. Specifically, in the Eurozone. Italy is having difficulties forming a government and the rise of populist anti-euro parties are gaining momentum. This is causing concerns that Italy may leave the Euro and is adding more uncertainty to European markets.

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Economic Update April 2018: Riding the Roller Coaster

by Josh Miszk Last updated on May 04, 2018

The rising interest rate environment – along with geopolitical shifting – is still sparking volatility in global equity markets, with the largest impact felt on bonds and emerging market securities. Looking forward, we can expect more of this volatility, driven by geopolitical inconsistency and rising yields, but we do expect the solid economic data to continue driving growth forward. The ups and downs can seem hard to stomach, but this trend is becoming a new normal. With positive fundamentals guiding us forward, it’s worth the ride.

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How to Use Market Fluctuations to Invest More Rationally

by Invisor Last updated on April 18, 2018

Photo by rawpixel.com on Unsplash

If you’re an investor, you know that the market is unpredictable. It can be great for months, only to suddenly drop before spiking back up once again. Over the past year, we’ve felt the shake of global events in our portfolios on several occasions, and understanding how these events affect our savings is important in keeping a clear head and persevering through the noise.

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Economic Update March 2018: Trade Wars - Good For Absolutely Nothing

by Josh Miszk Last updated on April 06, 2018

Volatility IndexAs expected, volatility is on the rise, most recently fueled by bargaining tactics and a clash of egos that are threatening to provoke a trade war between the two largest economies in the world. Global markets were shaken by the news in March, as we see reflected in increased volatility and a drop in equity markets. 

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Economic Update February 2018: Bringing Back Volatility 

by Josh Miszk Last updated on March 07, 2018

In February, we saw a reintroduction of volatility in the market. The steep drops early in the month were partially clawed back as cooler heads prevailed, but that left many investors with chilly reminders of the recession of 2008. Despite the perceived similarities, we believe this situation is far from the economic fall 10 years ago, as stated in our letter to investors here. Having said that, we see higher volatility persisting in the near future. In this economic update, we’ll talk about why volatility is here to stay and how to manage it. First, let’s start with a note on the Canadian economy.

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