Life doesn’t always work out the way we think it will, and sometimes we find ourselves scrambling to regain control of our financial situation. Illness, job loss, emergency expenses, less-than-ideal money choices – these can all trigger us to dip into our savings prematurely.
This month we’re discussing what drove markets throughout August, including signs of strength in the US market, slow-progressing trade negotiations, and news out of emerging market economies.
US economic reports released in July showed increasing strength, breaking past the 2% real growth rate which has been somewhat of a norm since 2009. Real growth is up 2.8% in the past year, while real GDP growth in the second quarter alone grew at 4.1% annual rate which is its fastest pace since 2014. Wages and salaries are growing at its fastest pace in nearly a decade and, as a result, consumption numbers are also solid. The strong economic data can be attributed to tax cuts and increased government spending.
The story of June 2018 in the markets has been dominated by headlines surrounding global trade tensions. Other themes persist throughout the market such as rising interest rates, geopolitical uncertainty, and volatility in the financial markets.
Thinking about our loved ones ageing – and the challenges that may come with it – is not always at the top of our priority list. It’s a difficult topic – one that many of us prefer not to confront until it’s absolutely necessary.
In May we saw geopolitical risks continue to loom large and add to the volatility in global equity markets. Specifically, in the Eurozone. Italy is having difficulties forming a government and the rise of populist anti-euro parties are gaining momentum. This is causing concerns that Italy may leave the Euro and is adding more uncertainty to European markets.
The rising interest rate environment – along with geopolitical shifting – is still sparking volatility in global equity markets, with the largest impact felt on bonds and emerging market securities. Looking forward, we can expect more of this volatility, driven by geopolitical inconsistency and rising yields, but we do expect the solid economic data to continue driving growth forward. The ups and downs can seem hard to stomach, but this trend is becoming a new normal. With positive fundamentals guiding us forward, it’s worth the ride.
If you’re an investor, you know that the market is unpredictable. It can be great for months, only to suddenly drop before spiking back up once again. Over the past year, we’ve felt the shake of global events in our portfolios on several occasions, and understanding how these events affect our savings is important in keeping a clear head and persevering through the noise.
As expected, volatility is on the rise, most recently fueled by bargaining tactics and a clash of egos that are threatening to provoke a trade war between the two largest economies in the world. Global markets were shaken by the news in March, as we see reflected in increased volatility and a drop in equity markets.